Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.963657 2.048119 2.135178 2.231834 2.336400 2.446395 2.571221
2025-12-07 1.795948 1.914372 2.041252 2.188117 2.354486 2.538376 2.758814
2025-12-14 1.660959 1.797722 1.948346 2.128120 2.339006 2.581362 2.885232
2025-12-21 1.593500 1.747610 1.921476 2.134761 2.393123 2.701211 3.104933
2025-12-28 1.551172 1.721035 1.916818 2.163041 2.470351 2.849992 3.369751
2026-01-04 1.483019 1.658921 1.864771 2.128357 2.464670 2.891400 3.495935
2026-01-11 1.444987 1.629843 1.849559 2.136204 2.510557 2.999460 3.718864
2026-01-18 1.418888 1.613186 1.847618 2.159113 2.575484 3.135526 3.993202
2026-01-25 1.378390 1.576544 1.818357 2.144200 2.587704 3.198380 4.164661
2026-02-01 1.333132 1.531940 1.776731 2.110286 2.570954 3.217542 4.269048
2026-02-08 1.273872 1.467662 1.707466 2.036281 2.494169 3.143957 4.217672
2026-02-15 1.234657 1.427526 1.667817 2.000142 2.468228 3.142754 4.282829
2026-02-22 1.205689 1.401824 1.648823 1.995137 2.491987 3.226180 4.515053
2026-03-01 1.170524 1.367297 1.617348 1.972041 2.489034 3.269987 4.688547
2026-03-08 1.128759 1.322891 1.571178 1.926331 2.449985 3.253945 4.752410
2026-03-15 1.109849 1.307581 1.563080 1.933490 2.489941 3.367447 5.075978
2026-03-22 1.098544 1.301703 1.567181 1.957833 2.557169 3.531880 5.531157
2026-03-29 1.069122 1.270714 1.535733 1.928860 2.538966 3.548356 5.681628
2026-04-05 1.053805 1.258064 1.528948 1.935538 2.577375 3.667043 6.079244
2026-04-12 1.043635 1.251921 1.530792 1.954833 2.637064 3.829885 6.619388
2026-04-19 1.023685 1.231828 1.512249 1.942300 2.643014 3.892846 6.930605
2026-04-26 0.999642 1.205497 1.484032 1.913742 2.620155 3.898182 7.093191
2026-05-03 0.965884 1.165105 1.434813 1.851219 2.536540 3.778673 6.895338